Thursday 19 December 2013

Bets 19/12/2013

Funny how when you have a small good run you think you’re able to pluck out 100/1 and 25/1 shots in competitive fields and bet in 4 runner races  when you’ve always avoided. That’s what happened yesterday but thankfully Quiet Warrior was rampant and that was as I wrote the bigger bet so covered me, and some.

1.20 Exeter – Shammick Boy 5/1 and Look for Love 18/1 both look to have a chance here. Both have soft ground form and course form and are on conceivably winninig marks. Look for Love had first run back and looked a bit rusty but if you look back to April he beats Shammick Boy on formline. However SB takes a big drop in class here and you’ve be very disappointed if was not in top 3.

1.50 Exeter – 4 horse race so avoiding even though Bury Parade looks likely.

2.10 Towcester – Gorgehous Lliege 13/8 lost an iron at beginning of last race and his record here is 121. Looks worthy favourite in this lower class.

2.50 Exeter – I know I shouldn’t be hitting long shots but old boy Knapp Bridge Boy 65/1 looks too good to pass up. Runs well fresh and won a similar race last year over C&D by 16 lengths when only 4 pounds lower.

5.30 Kempton – The two market leaders look worthy but there are two who are definitely better at Kempton than their handicap mark and worth chancing ew. Bint Alzain 16/1 and Moortahan 16/1. The latter ran half a dozen lengths behind horses who finished close to Toomore and Steeler.

6.30 Kempton – Asia Minor 4/1 to bolt up again.


7.00 Kempton – Grey Mirage 11/10 is the banker of the day so a large back to lay bet again. Last month in a class 2 over C&D he beat higher rated horses by 6 lenghts with a quick time. If he front runs again then theres always the danger of something catching him so hence why hitting the lay button at about 1.2

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