Saturday 1 August 2015

Bets 01/08/2015

Goodwood has been tough this week. Really tough. Segal has been useless and I’m feeling cautious today. Tom Pricewise Segal from the Racingpost has tipped 5 today:
2.00 Goodwood – Rex Imperator 16/1, Shore Step 14/1
3.15 Galway – Elishpour 10/1
3.45 Goodwood – Ninjago 22/1, Toofi 20/1

Lots of punting today, but all half bets. Happy August :)

Goodwood 2.00 – It’s been a while since I’ve strongly agreed with Segal. Today I do. Rex Imperator 14/1 e/w. Top race but good chance. Small e/w on Barnet Fair 16/1 and Brother Tiger 50/1. Jan Van Hoof has interesting form with Maljaa last time out too

Newmarket 2.15 – Fats will back the Frenchy as he says they don’t send them over for nothing. I’m back Gretchen 4/1; top rated, step down in class.

Doncaster 2.20 – Koora 15/8. Experienced and knows goes well at Doncaster

Goodwood 2.35 – Darmouth 11/4 has been backed like can’t lose. Can’t help but have e/w 10/1 on River Dart though, the form is strong as is course form

Newmarket 2.50 – If Tutu Nguru 13/2 doesn’t perform Justice Lass 12/1 e/w has a huge chance. Strong from and good mark

Doncaster 2.55 – Putting Green a double figures is tempting, but I reckon Master of Speed 2/1 is on a good mark. 3rd placed finished 5 lengths behind and then won off 72. MoS on 82 today and could be 90 rated after today.

Goodwood 3.10 – The market for this has to be wrong? Lady of Dubai 6/1 in a C&D winner, clearly still on upgrade and beat Diamondsandrubies who beat Legatissimo. Key is distance.

Newmarket 3.25 – Nemoralia 5/4. Anything that beats her will be very smart

Doncaster 3.30 – Shariff of Nawton 12/1 e/w huge shout on C&D form. I don’t know what’s happened to Elkaayed. Shame as used to be smart, but looks to have lost it. If bounced back would win, but sticking with SoN.

Goodwood 3.45 – Guess what? Again agreeing with Segal on Ninjago 16/1 e/w

Newmarket 4.00 – Khalass 2/1 is well treated.

Thirsk 4.10 – Saigon City 3/1 looks a big price

Doncaster 4.05 – In these types of races you should simply back the top rated horse. In this case it’s Hot Streak then Outback Travellor but I’m being a douche and backing Polybius 7/1. I think HS better over 5 and OT better over 7. A small 7/1 chance Polybius could be better than them over 6f today.

Newmarket 4.35 – Everyone will be pilling into Speculative Bid, but I didn’t like the way he travelled at Newmarket. I might be daft as on all known form he wins doing handstands. However at this time of year I like to start backing 3yr olds in races like this, especially those who ran in group races as a 2yr old. Mukhayyam 10 e/w

Goodwood 4.55 – Surewecan 25/1 e/w ran in the Richmond Stakes here at the weight behind Ivawood. Today SWC is 14lbs lower; albeit has zero current form, but it is MJ.

Newmarket 5.45 – I’m Mister Brightside 7/4 and I love easy money

Goodwood 6.00 – Highland Duke 12/1 e/w massive price based on C&D form.


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