Friday 21 August 2015

Bets 21/08/2015 - Ebor Day 3

More positive punting yesterday and again avoided Segal and watched another handful of his bets flop. No plans to follow today either.

York 1.55 - I'm convinced you need to be in the lower half of the draw to do well in this so takes out a number of my options. Mistrioc looks a suspect stayer. Chancery has a huge chance. Always runs well here when drawn well. I just wonder whether backing after last week is wise and 96 is pretty high for him. Hmm. Libran 12/1 looked unluckyish last time out but then again did get put up 4lb. that form is rock solid though and is a C&D winner. Having a few cheeky quid on Random Note 33/1 a good old boy who was once 117 rated. Pearl Castle 25/1 if bounces back to form wins this as is worth risking nothing major went wrong last time out.

York 2.30 - I like cookies but I'm not the biggest fan of Clever at this grade. Was truly put into place at Ascot so will look elsewhere. Trip to Paris s solid but has a penalty. Mizzou 5/1 beats Hidden Gold and Vent Du Force on previous form so gets my bet. For all the hype of Quest for More, Max Dynamite 12/1 gets a few quid too.

York 3.05 - Bloody hell. Keep it simple. Tanzeel 11/1 won be shed loads last time out. Ran better than on paper. Course winner, lightly raced in form. Nagging doubt is one time on GS ran very badly. The ground is drying out I hope....

York 3.40 - Acapulco 9/4 gets a 27lb allowance. That equates to letting her start 9 lengths ahead of the field. She ain't an ordinary 2yr old. Doubts must be the ground and the York track which some horses just don't go on. Sole Power gets a few quid on the place. 11/1 is massive though if you don't fancy the US beastress and with Haggas smashing them in Muthmir is going to go really well. Qatar Racing have to lively chances and I did back them both antepost (Pearl 50/1 and Wind 66/1) I'm sticking with Acapulco as bet for today. The weight allowance is too much.....

York 4.55 - Will Haggas form get home from the poor draw. Maybe, but I think will be a Supreme Occasion 33/1 when he bowls home. Got a lot of experience for a 3yr and whilst exposed the races tend to shoe 8f GS will be optimum.




1 comment:

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