Bets 03/08/2012 - Glorious Goodwood Day 4

Oh dear. After such a victorious moment on Day 2, the cherry was sliced off on Day 3. Was a tad annoyed with Dobbsy as didn’t look to give Blue Surf a tough time in the first and annoyed with myself for not backing Stirring Ballad. Everything else was a mare and I’m certainly not touching open jumps racing at this point in the season again. There’s no form to go with. I’m also sacking off backing Weld blindly @ Galway. Right, hopefully can get back on track today.

Tom ‘ Pricewise’ Segal from the RacingPost has put up:

Goodwood 2.35 – Stipulate 9/1

Goodwood 3.10 – Albaqaa 12/1 (I backed this last night after watching last run. Looked overpriced) and he has also gone for Johnston's Fulbright 9/1

Goodwood 3.45 – Angels Will Fall 16/1

My thoughts later...

On Day 1 and 2 I ignored draw bias as didn’t think it would make difference, and it didn’t. I didn’t realise that yesterday they opened up a 6 metre strip of fresh track. Whether it made a difference I don’t know, but all the big guns have chosen to go low of Saturday’s handicap. I’ll probably have an accumulator on some of the favs today, but will still look for bigger priced singles!

Goodwood 2.00 – After watching Gatewood’s last run it wasn’t a clear cut win but reckon that was due to ground. Gosden has won 1 from 4 this week, and all the money last night was for Gatewood. But, I really want to back Dubai Prince 6/1. GD had him marked down as a Derby horse so if he is as good as they thought 6/1 is a decent price. I’ll no doubt back Gatewood in an accumulator as a hedge.

Goodwood – 2.35 – Gregorian 10/3 is the obvious choice but Coup De Ville is overpriced at 14/1 with Thistle Bird storming a listed race and Highland Knight who he beat by 4 lengths also winning a listed race easily. Trumpet Major will have to do it all with 4lb penalty

Goodwood 3.10 – Segal and I have gone for Albaqaa 12/1. Came from the back very strongly and will hopefully be ridden a bit earlier this time round. Segal has also tipped Fulbright. I wonder though whether Bannock 25/1 is the better value Johnston horse? Might be hard to avoid backing Field of Dream 12/1 as well. He has some serious pace and Spencer is the jockey you want on board navigating through traffic coming from the back

Goodwood 3.45 – Segal has put up Angels will Fall 16/1. Only managed to get 10’s, but interesting that Stall 1 has won twice as many runnings as any other stall. Can this really be telling? Either way it looks like the low numbers are the place to be based on what the trainers have gone for on Saturday, therefore this is about Tangerine Trees 7/1

Goodwood 4.20 – Seems to be a bit of a gamble going on with Oasis Cannes 5/1. And why not. Prescott has had 7 winners this week, has stall 1 and is highest RPR. String Conviction 33/1 is interesting behind Sir Prancelot and Mister Marc. Looks temperamental but first time visor may sort this. Also can’t help notice Glass Office 18/1. One length behind Morawij and closely matched with Master of War who finished 2^nd yesterday in G1C2 race here yesterday.

Goodwood 4.50 – All eyes on Gamilati 7/4. If the wide drawn is a hindrance Sunday Nectar 18/1 looks very interesting.

Goodwood 5.25 – It’s likely that I’ve now got money eyes and am going for long shots, rather than using the usual logic, but I’m tempted by Heyward Girl 33/1. Something went wrong last time out, but the from behind Es Que Love in a C2 race isn’t the worst and a drop to 5f is definitely a bonus. Powerful Wind 22/1 worth a punt back on quick ground

Bangor 6.05 – Keltic Crisis 7/4 was a non runner last time out, but still gets to run being 24lb ahead of handicapper, on good ground. Must have a great chance.

Total Staked £954.82, Total Returned £712.93

£20.00 e/w Field of Dream 12/1 - LOSE £0.00

£60.00 Gamilati 9/4 - LOSE £0.00

£50.00 e/w Oasis Cannes 9/2 - PLACED £95.38

£70.00 e/w Accumulator N/A - LOSE £0.00

£20.00 e/w Albaqaa 10/1 - LOSE £0.00

£20.00 e/w Dubai Prince 7/1 - LOSE £0.00

£20.00 e/w Bannock 25/1 - LOSE £0.00

£20.00 e/w Stipulate 8/1 - LOSE £0.00

£20.00 e/w Fulbright 8/1 - WIN £240.00

£20.00 e/w Angels Will Fall 10/1 - LOSE £0.00

£20.00 e/w Strong Conviction 33/1 - LOSE £0.00

£20.00 e/w Tangerine Trees 7/1 - LOSE £0.00

£20.00 e/w Sunday Nectar 18/1 - PLACED £110.00

£20.00 e/w Powerful Wind 33/1 - LOSE £0.00

£20.00 e/w Heyward Girl 33/1 - LOSE £0.00

£17.50 e/w Coupe De Ville 14/1 - LOSE £0.00

£20.00 e/w Glass Office 18/1 - LOSE £0.00

£15.00 (SP Fav) Ortensia  6/1 - WIN £52.50

£44.82 Keltic Crisis 6/4 - WIN £112.05

£40.00 Keltic Crisis 7/4 - WIN £103.00

P&L @ 03/08/12:
£11,748.39
AntePost P&L @ 03/08/12:
£1,745.92
Total P&L @ 03/08/12:
£13,494.31