Bets 04/08/2012 - Glorious Goodwood Day 5

Albaqaa got hampered, Dubai Prince was no good and really, I was saved by Johnston and Keltic Crisis. Can't believe I didn't put more than £84.82 on the latter. It basically had a 14 length head start! Anyway, I've not had a thorough looks at the cards yet for tomorrow, but Es Que Love 25/1 and Harlestone Times 16/1 look stand out prices already, so I've had a nice double on that. The former is a Johnston horse, and has form behind Black Caviar so looks a worthy bet at this level. The latter's form has been franked  by Hurricane Higgins and I'd not be surprised if Segal tips it up as well. No more spunking hundreds on accumulators though! Will post Segal tips up tomorrow morning....

7.30am update...Tom 'Pricewise' Segal from the Racingpost has tipped:
Goodwood 2.05 - Jarrow 20/1
Goodwood 2.40 - Motivado 10/1
Goodwood 3.55 - Jamesie 12/1

If you want the prices, Ladbrokes put them up about 8.17am and Willhill 8.30am. My thoughts later...

9.15am update...Lots of money for lots of horses. Market prior to race hasn't been the best indicator, but if there's been late money it has been fairly accurate...

Goodwood 2.05 – Johannes 20/1 won this 2 years ago and gets to run off the same mark with the claimer onboard. Looking for Tax Free 12/1 to go well today as well despite his age. Don’t understand Segal’s choice in Jarrow 20/1 but I always follow. Oneladyowner 20/1 ran a blinder last time here and Buick up again, so will know how to judge him. Depending on the market might look at El Viento 40/1 and Nasri 11/1. Think I’ve chosen too many. Oh dear, not a promising start.

Newmarket 2.20 – Usain Colt 7/2

Goodwood 2.40 – Segal has gone for Motivado. I’m plumping for Harlestone Times 16/1 who runs well here and has solid form behind Mount Athos and ahead of Uppercut. Solar Sky 20/1 might be worth a shout as well. If Segal has got it right about Motivado, might be worth a bet on the Ebor now 20/1?

Goodwood 3.15 – Are Gosden’s horses finally on a comedown? Not sure. Cecil has had 4 winners this meeting and if I take Izzi Top out the equation Timepiece 8/1 (w/o Izzi Top) ex is quite tasty. Timepiece and Announce are quite closely matched on form against Announce, but at the prices Timepiece gets the vote.

Goodwood 3.55 – When Dandy Boy won at Ascot Segal was fuming and said he always backs David Marnane’s horses in valuable handicaps. He didn’t so no surprise he has tipped up Jamesie 12/1. Mac’s Power 12/1 ran very well in this last year. Fanshawe has knocked in a few winners this week, down 3lb from last year, Moore onboard, and decent last run behind Shrophsire, so all set up for a good ride. Not letting a Johnston horse go; Es Que Love 25/1. The last one is an emotive bet on Borderlescott 20/1. Very old now but on a mark he could defy. He lights up at Goodwood.

Doncaster 4.00 – Conduct 9/2 could be a massacre?

Goodwood 4.30 – I listen to what Hughesy says. He reckons Wentworth is up there with Torando and co, so it’s an easy bet in a race I wouldn’t know where to start. Prices aren’t up yet. The RP reckons it’ll be around 11/2, I reckon around 2/1 if lucky.

Goodwood 5.05 – Dominate 9/4 ran well here on Tuesday, gets in on a very workable mark. Hughes also likes his chances.

Goodwood 5.40 – Hoping the bookies take a beat down on another favourite today. After Landaman’s rout earlier in the week he gets MJMMurphy onboard who has won here twice this week. Admitteldly I’m not looking through the card but must be strong 6/4 chance.

Total Staked £975.00, Total Returned £2,289.25

£20.00 e/w Timepiece (w/o Izzi Top) 8/1 - PLACED £60.00

£20.00 e/w Harlestone Times, Es Que Love Double N/A - LOSE £0.00

£12.50 e/w Harlestone Times 16/1 - LOSE £0.00

£20.00 e/w Johannes 22/1 - WIN £590.00

£20.00 e/w Borderlescott 20/1 - LOSE £0.00

£40.00 Dominate 9/4 - LOSE £0.00

£20.00 e/w Tax Free 12/1 - LOSE £0.00

£20.00 e/w Jarrow 14/1 - LOSE £0.00

£20.00 e/w Motivado 8/1 - WIN £240.00

£20.00 e/w Jamesie 11/1 - LOSE £0.00

£30.00 e/w Treble N/A - LOSE £0.00

£20.00 e/w El Viento 33/1 - PLACED £185.00

£20.00 e/w Nasri 10/1 - LOSE £0.00

£20.00 e/w Solar Sky 20/1 - PLACED £120.00

£20.00 e/w Conduct 9/2 - PLACED £38.00

£20.00 e/w Wentworth 10/3 - LOSE £0.00

£45.00 e/w Johannes, Timepiece, Solar Sky, Macs Power Accumulator, Doubles N/A - WIN £761.25

£30.00 e/w Doubles, Accumulator N/A - LOSE £0.00

£100.00 Mac's Power (Place Lay) 3.46 - WIN £195.00

£40.00 Usain Colt 7/1 - LOSE £0.00

£40.00 Landaman 6/4 - WIN £100.00

P&L @ 04/08/12:
£12,999.64
AntePost P&L @ 04/08/12:
£1,745.92
Total P&L @ 04/08/12:
£14,745.56