Saturday 29 September 2012

Bets 29/09/2012

Anyone reading this blog, searching for tips, should be aware I’m going through a stinking patch. I have no explanation. If it were always that easy we’d all be minted. Just have to suck it up. Plus, I'm not a tipster!! I just want to make some extra dollar and get back into VIP land!

5 favourites were landed yesterday, all, after significant money. Tom Segal is not leading up Pricewise today, so I’m not interested in following. I’ve never heard of Mel Cullinan but for those who bum a bit of Pricewise, they have gone for Fantastic Moon 1.55, Hoyam 2.25, Mijhaar and Talk About 3.40. If they win, they win, but I follow Tom Segal as opposed to Pricewise. My thoughts later…

9.00am update...

Interesting few jump contests today, but I’ll wait until after Champions Day to tuck in. Be good to let a few have their first run and see which stables are readied for the season ahead.

Newmarket 1.55 – Who has the best formline? Well after watching Havana Gold hack up and seeing the form of Cecil’s crew Al Waab 6/1 appeals the most. This will be a hot 2yr race and will unlock a few form questions around Dundonnell, Olympic Glory, Havana Gold, Tha’Ir and Tamayuz Start among others.

Newmarket 2.25 – Another tough one, but I really like Maureen and Hughes thinks a lot about her too.

Newmarket 3.00 – This is tough and is driven purely by emotion. Beauty Parlour 2/1.

Newmarket 3.40 – Well, I’m pleased to say ALL of my antepost bets are still in and not going anywhere else. Stevie Thunder 50/1 was 2nd in this last year. Bronze Angel 20/1 who was Segal’s antepost. Chil The Kite 14/1. 3 yr olds have a dire record so doesn’t bode well for the latter two. I also like Jack’s Revenge 18/1, but wow this is tough.

Newmarket 4.50 – Redact 20/1. The 7lb claimer is going to help here and if can repeat his last C&D performance in with a solid shout and is technically 15lb better off than Cape Classic who heads the market today.  Accession 20/1 is another with a good chance with form behind Mince and Born to Surprise

Newmarket 5.25 – Sun Central 8/1. I reckon will be having a large e/w on this. Sack of his last run and the form is HOT. Big big chance and I’ll be very surprised if does not go off around 4/1 mark.

I wouldn't ordinarily look at Chester but Newton wants my thoughts, so:

Chester 2.20 – The favourite has won last 5 renewals. I’m not touching, but back the fav

Chester 2.50 – Lady Ibrox 7/1 e/w. C&D winner over soft, and good draw.

Chester 3.30 – Kyllachy Star 10/1 e/w

Chester 4.40 – Deia Sunrise 6/1 e/w

Total Staked £590.00, Total Returned £1,042.38

Antepost Bets:
£15.00 e/w Bronze Angel 20/1 - WIN £405.00
£15.00 e/w Chil The Kite 14/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Stevie Thunder 40/1 - LOSE £0.00

Today's Bets:

£30.00 Maureen 5/2 - LOSE £0.00
£30.00 Beauty Parlour 2/1 - LOSE £0.00
£40.00 e/w Sun Central 8/1 - NR £80.00
£15.00 e/w Kyllachy Star 10/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Deia Sunrise 6/1 - WIN £138.00
£85.00 e/w Trebles, Accumulator N/A - PLACED £240.73
£15.00 e/w Jack's Revenge 14/1 - LOSE £0.00
£5.00 e/w Accession 22/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Al Waab 6/1 - PLACED £35.25
£15.00 e/w Redact 20/1 - LOSE £0.00
£15.00 e/w Lady Ibrox 7/1 - WIN £143.40

P&L @ 29/09/12:
£14,247.09
AntePost P&L @ 29/09/12:
£2,060.92
Total P&L @ 29/09/12:
£16,308.01


6 comments:

  1. ha ha lucky you looked at chester! I too had Lady Ibrox and D Sunrise. I must admit I was annoyed with myself for not backing Bronze Angel, but there you go. Keep up the good work fella. Didn't touch Pricewise this weekend either...

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    Replies
    1. Ha - yes! This weekend I dedicate my thanks to Chester and Segal.

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  2. Have you ever calculated the profit margin if you were to bet £30 on the nose rather that £15ew? I think it would be greater?

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  3. I've not calculated it. However, I now have something to during the footy tomorrow. I'll blog it! Hope you're not right, by too much, but get feeling you might be...

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  4. I don't do EW myself, regardless of how great the odds are. Will be interesting to see the out come if you do get time to blog it. Could revolutionise the way you place your bets and help you achieve your target of becoming banned from another book makers!

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