18/02/2012 Bets

Sprinter Sacre blew my mind, Long Run brought me back to earth and Zarkandar (The King of the Triumph Crew of 2011) re-elevated me.  All week I was itching to back the treble, but bottle jobbed it when I revisited the weights. Hindsight hindsight. Blah Blah. Another relatively successful day either way. Some of my Cheltenham AP bets are now looking SOLID. Although, I said that last year and the year before and those dreams were not fulfilled! Should have tickled the Mahbooba/First City forecast. Nearly spelt it out for myself, but could not quite translate it. Village Vic was just pipped on the line which was frustrating but Il De Re finished the day off on a positive note.

There’s a divided opinion with Long Run today. Some bookies have eased Long Run for the Gold Cup, but I’m not sure that’s a wise ploy. Burton port has been massively cut for the GC but again I'm not sure why. There was a 10lb give and it was not the gruelling Cheltenham finish with LR will murder.

The Henderson/Nicholls Show it was yesterday, and I feel a round 2 today, with a bit of Pipe and McCain. Tom Segal has picked 4 horses today. All have plummeted in price. None more so that Eastlake. 25/1 into 8/1. 25/1 was available for 30mins, and 30 mins only. I missed it!

Ascot 1.15 – Have doubts about the step up in trip for Keys, but gets an 8lb allowance over closet rival Super Duty

Ascot 1.50 – Silviniaco Conti should have Bob’s Worth again. All the money seems to be that way at the moment

Ascot 2.25 – Segal has picked Viking Blonde. I like some of the previous C&D Winners, but I don’t want to take Pricewise on today but if I had to I would with the Minack, though looks mega high in weights.

Ascot 3.00 – Riverside Theatre should keep Kauto Stone at bay. Again, the money suggests this.

Ascot 3.35 – Segal has picked Eastlake. On the basis it’s come in from 25/1 and is 7/1 in places, something must be brewing? By now I’m sure you’ve realised I bum the Zarkandar form line. Smad Place won a nice prize for me in his last and I don’t think the rise in weights was harsh. I also like Crack Away Jack

Ascot 4.45 – Hobbs NHF Bandwagon – Uncle Jimmy

Haydock 1.35 – Favourites have won this 8/9 times so no reason to revert from the favourite, Une Artiste, who is another Henderson Triumph entry.

Haydock 2.10 – Real Milan. McCain does well here, but more importantly I like this form line.

Haydock 3.20 – Segal has picked Some Target and Sona Sasta. This is a tough race, but I had a dabble on Neptune Collonges yesterday

Haydock 3.55 – A tough race. Tamarinbleu feels big at 25/1, but lots of interesting sorts switching to Hurdles and As De Fer looks solid.

Wincanton 12.55 – Mentioned It’s a Gimme should not have been beaten by Waterunder, but Pipe in flying and Farrelly can do it again. 

Gowran Park - Rubi Light and Zaidpour should stroll home

Lingfield 4.00 - I'm only fluttering as it's in the Scoop6. Just like at Meydan  I look for horses that just need a kick a bit sooner. Gorgeous Goblin the only one I can see comments which say just did't quite get there, or finished closest, etc. Prices vary 16/1 - 28/1, so might be interesting?


£25.00 e/w Acc Rubi Light, Zaidpour, Silviniaco Conti, Une Artiste, Riverside Theatre - LOSE
£25.00 e/w Acc Silviniaco Conti, Riverside Theatre, Keys - LOSE 
£5.00 x 10 Trebles on above - PLACED £108.40


£50.00 Riverside Theatre 13/8 - WIN £131.25
£10.00 Riverside Theatre 13/8 - WIN £26.25
£10.00 Keys 8/13 - LOSE
£10.00 Une Artiste 5/4 - WIN £22.50
£10.00 Waterunder 6/5 - LOSE
£5.00 e/w Uncle Jimmy 16/1 - LOSE
£5.00 e/w Real Milan 9/2 - LOSE
£5.00 e/w Tamarinbleu 33/1 - PLACED £46.25
£10.00 Silviniaco Conti 5/4 - LOSE
£10.00 Silviniaco Conti 5/4 - LOSE
£5.00 e/w Smad Place 5/1 - PLACED £11.25
£10.00 The Minack 7/2 - LOSE
£5.00 e/w As De Fer 13/2 - LOSE
£5.00 e/w Neptune Collonges 10/1 - PLACED £17.50
£5.00 e/w Major Malarky 16/1 - LOSE
£5.00 e/w Gorgeous Goblin 22/1 - WIN £142.00


£5.00 e/w Viking Blond 8/1 (TOM SEGAL) - LOSE
£5.00 e/w Some Target 13/2 (TOM SEGAL) - LOSE
£5.00 e/w Sona Sasta 10/1 (TOM SEGAL) - LOSE
£5.00 e/w Eastlake 8/1 (TOM SEGAL) - LOSE


£16.00 Scoop6 - LOSE
£5.00 e/w Acc 7 fold - LOSE


Total Stake £416.00, Total Return £505.40


Disciplined P&L @ 18/02/12:

+£82.51

Reckless P&L @ 18/02/12:
+£115.61

AntePost P&L @ 18/02/12:

+£306.00

Total P&L @ 18/02/12:

+£504.12

If you want to get on Segal's bets at recommended prices, you have to do it 8.30am on Saturday, else you have no chance

Eastlake's odds this morning.