Monday 19 June 2023

Bets 20/06/2023 - Royal Ascot Day 1

A nice freebie with Be Frank yesterday. Been at a conference all day today and back again tomorrow. Bad timing............

I have no idea what will happen to the ground tomorrow. So annoyed after such great weather it starts to screw round now. I don't think will get any worse than good though. There is a difference between good and good to firm when comes to finding the edge, but hey such is the merkage we have to deal with.

Ascot 2.30 Queen Anne - I just can't see beyond Inspiral 2/1. I think every horse is exposed. The race that Inspiral ran on seasonal debut as Royal Ascot last year was, with the fillies allowance, at least half a stone better than anything that any of them that have run at Ascot. Modern Games is the biggest threat. Nothing other than boring in this race. Top 2 in the market. Trying to make a case for an ew with Lusail or Berkshire Shadown, but just can't. So sticking with just Inspiral.


Ascot 3.05 Coventry - Who knows what hand the draw will have in the outcome so ignoring it to a certain extent on Day 1. Haatem 33/1ew bust a 2,500/1 acca on Oaks day by missing the break. I partially want my redemption but I do think has a chance. On paper Asdna looks solid, but on collateral form I think Bobsliegh is nearly the same and therefore given Hateem 33/1ew (5 places) should have beaten it I have to punt it. 


Ascot 15.40 Kings Stand - I normally try to avoid horses moving up and down sprinting distances, but Highfield Princess really is the best (at best) over 5f and on ratings should win. Coolangatta cold be nything but not hard any hype on this one? If Manaccan is worthy of being this short then Mitabby and Happy Romanace are much better value on formline. Here's what I've decided:

Inspiral / Highfield Princess Double 10.5/1 

Happy Romance 45/1ew 4places

Mitbaahy 12/1


Ascot 4.20 St James - No bet as can't pick between 3 of 9


Ascot 5.00 - Bring on the Night looks like a hotpot? but trying the value with Irish Lullaby 20/1ew


Backed these last two yesterday

Ascot 5.35 - Francesco Clemente 13/2ew (5 places) - Pretty gutted didn't win lto but I have enough excuses for it. At the weights has the best chance. Will surely be fully geared up for this and race experience is my only doubt. Buckaroo look better at shorter. King of Conquest was fit lto when being FC but has a 3lb penalty for that win. Foxes Tales didn't rn well lto nor in the race last year. Highland and Bolshoi an Solid Stone could go well, but sticking with the one.

 

Ascot 6.10 Raymond Tusk 40/1ew (5 places) - Vauban may be tough to beat, but Raymond Tusk ran 4lenghts behind Get Shirty last year but didn't come into the race in great form. This year, down 4lbs, King in banging form and ran a blinder ltm. Draw is similar to last year and given Fuiraja Prince won from 16 few years back am stretched to say draw is bad. 66/1 was a crazy price; shame I missed it. 40's ew still better than back the fave.


Could well be a few decent faves accas to think about with Insprial, Highfiled Princess, Bring on The Night and mabe even Chalean and Vauban



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