Friday 18 July 2014

Bets 18/07/2014

Dr Red Eye saved red eyes yesterday. Clearly still not a great day.

I've only napped once in 2 1/2 years and it was a 4/1 winner, but am reluctant to do so again as I'm not a tipster; just someone who wants to retire early, but here it is...

3.15 Haydock - Fast Track 11/4. Barron has had two winners in last 4 races including a 14/1 and Rozene who won for me the other day. But more importantly is from a formline that has made me $$$. Fast Track would have been closer to the winner if not hampered, but winner Extortionist won a G3 next, second Speed Hawk won last race easily, Peterkin, Royal Seal and Deeds Not Words all finished behind him, all won next time. Fast Track to riches!!!

Other races,

1.50 & 2.55 Nottingham – You’ll see a lot more of these in the future, but my bro aka Desai Jnr has an odd knack for backing winners purely on trainer form I doubted it for ages, but I have to confess I can’t anymore especially as he landed an 84/1 double yesterday and 40/1 treble 2 days ago. He doesn’t even look at the card. It’s nuts! So here are two of his today: Inniscatle Lad 13/2 & Le Laitier 9/2

3.05 Newbury - Cay Dancer 3/1 ran a blinder last race, more so because 1st and 2nd abolsultey bolted up next time, so Cay Dancer is likely to be a wad ahead of assessor too

3.30 Nottingham – Doctor Parkes 13/2 was a big bet last time out but withdrawn due to ground. Milly’s Gift has franked that Sandown race form so DP can take this. I am worried about Random Success 7/2 though.

3.40 Newbury - The market puzzles me, and must be missing something. Adaay beat Natural Order by 4 lengths on turf easily. Limato beat Natural Order by 2 lengths easily on AW. Adaay went on to finished 3 lengths behind The Wow Signal, but was actually eased down as given too much to do, so on all known form Adaay 2/1 is surely better value than Limato at Evs? Someone not telling me something? Okay just found something. "Limato, best 2yr old since Ceasar Beware" Never heard of him. Just looked him up. Decent! After all this, probably not worth a betting.

3.50 Haydock - Make Me Rich Again 11/1. Please. Bad start last time, but headgear could sort that out. Nearly won of this mark over 6f here. Good e/w chance.

4.45 Newbury - Johnston doesn't do too well here, but now that I write this, I'm certain Insaany will win. Border Legend looks to have a good chance, but I swear something dodgey is going on with Burano. Jimmy Fortune has given him 4 shocking rides in a row. Comments say, not a clear run, but eye catching headway, but Jimmy keeps putting him in crap positions! If there is something sneaky, then the Betfred Mile @ 40/1 might be the plot. Not betting on this race though.

6.50 Newmarket – Desai Jnr – Pennine Warrior 22/1. Personally think has no chance

7.40 Hamilton – Tough handicap. With a high draw and couple of decent races behind him, tentatively going with Yeeoow 7/1. If you do the maths based on the Donny race with Golden Steps, then Out Do beats Yeeoow, but I think Yeeoww was worse drawn that day, so sticking with Yeeeeeeeeoooooow!

8.10 Hamilton – Postponed 7/4 looks to have best form with step up in trip a huge plus.

8.25 Newmarket – Royal Battallion 16/1 – a 3yr Sea The Stars colt that cost 575k gns. Got to be worth a pop.



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