Wednesday 19 June 2013

Bets 19/06/2013 - Royal Ascot Day 2

Home advantage looked a massive advantage as did the draw yesterday – well only if the jockey decided to go that way. I’m sure everyone will tomorrow! I had a shocker. Overly excited, accumulators ahoy. Did more in accs than singles and paid the price. Irrelavant I had a shocker. Segal has 3 good places and my only decent bet was on Declaration of War because Ladbrokes opened up 11/2 and made me think something was going on! Tom Pricewise Segal from the Racingpost has gone for another handful (7 in fact):

Mutin - 2.30 Ascot - 1pt win at 10-1 with Coral (9-1 with bet365)

Saint Baudolino - 3.45 Ascot - 1pt win at 14-1 with Betfred and Ladbrokes

Educate - 4.25 Ascot - 1pt win at 14-1 generally

Field Of Dream - 4.25 Ascot - 1pt win win at 33-1 with bet365 (22-1 with Coral)

Reroute - 5.00 Ascot - 1pt win at 14-1 with Betfred (12-1 with Boylesports)

Bracing Breeze - 5.35 Ascot - 1pt win at 11-1 with Hills (10-1 with Boylesports)

Mango Diva - 5.35 Ascot - 1pt win at 8-1 with Boylesports (7-1 generally)

Note to self: Don’t get carried away – It’s a freaking hard day!

Ascot 2.30 – Jersey StakesPearl Flute 14/1 has been racing in competitive races and Spencer has a decent record on straight tracks. Well drawn on what was seen yesterday. Well Acquainted 25/1 is a horse I was quite frustrated with last year but Espom is apparently good indicator for the Royal meeting and his last race was mighty impressive and perhaps should be rated a bit higher? Ah and what about my boy Ninjago 25/1 who didn’t get the pace he needed last time. Bound to get it this time. Opps got carried away already! O

Ascot 3.05 – Cambridge - I just really like Duntle 11/4. A group 1 winner, C&D winner including in last year’s meeting. Wachman’s string is in decent form and yep the Irish are smashed us yesterday!

Ascot 3.45 – Prince of Wales – The top 3 in the market are all tempting, but following through form lines and OR I end up with Red Cadeaux 22/1. Could this be Detorris first Group 1? I’m looking for value and this is where I’ve ended up. This formline is even true with Maxio, who I was tempted to back, as Red Cadeuax has beaten Dunaden, Pastrious and Plantuer

Ascot 4.25 – Royal Hunt - There’s an almighty gamble going on with Field of Dream 33/1 into 10/1. However I’m sticking to the stands side and go with Moran Gra 25/1 who was travelling very well in same race as Navajo Chief until first race match fitness kicked in and then at Curragh when probably struggled off top weight and also Sandagiyr 50/1 who ran in decent enough handicaps in Meydan. SBS won this race with Invisible Man a few years ago and maybe even Directorship 28/1?

Ascot 5.00 – Queen Mary - Urgh. Who knows. Apparently speed figures mean Reroute is exciting. I’m going to punt on a random outsider who had some from with Rizeena and ran a blinder last time out. One Chance 100/1. Far more realistically the boys are keen on Fast 14/1, but can’t help think this is between either Rizeena 13/2 or Beldale Memory 9/2

Ascot 5.35 – SandringhamNargys 20/1 is back and certainly owes me one. Not sure what happened last time out, but certainly has a few pounds in him (I hope). If the draw bias still exists then Fleeting Smile and a couple others will certainly set up a fast pace for Nargys to storm home, if doesn’t get trapped like did when behind Just the Judge. Expert weaver Spencer onboard. Hint of a Tint 10/1 also similar Just The Judge form line and another one of Wachmans. The outsider cos I just have to have one is Harmonic Note 135/1 on Betfair. Trapeze who finished a length behind HArmoic Note on level weights is 33/1  but is 4lb out the handicap this time so price does not make sense. That Elik race is not that bad either

This is a tough day....

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