Thursday 22 March 2012

Bets 22/03/2012

Since I started this blog, 3 times I have written how I have not had much time to research these fine animal races. Each time I've fallen into a pit when I have backed herds of elephants. Yesterday was no exception, except this time, I fell head first. Total Whitewash.

On another note George Osborne yesterday announced a 20% tax at point of consumption on gaming machines for companies based outside the UK. I wonder who will be impacted by this? Normally I call myself a twat for doing something daft, but George, this one’s for you. TWAT. For the sake of an estimated £200m, really? The betting money circle where value is even across events, will be quelled into an oval where bookies will need to increase their margins in other sports to counter balance the 20% loss on machines. This could potentially mean we get less value on the Gee Gees...

Chepstow 3.10 – Massini Sunset is on an interesting mark, running off the same mark as his last race when he really would have loved a few extra furlongs. Down in grade today, so worth looking at. There are a fair few others who have a goodish case, but looks wide open and at 12/1, is worth a pop.

Chepstow 3.45 – Relax will hopefully continue to progress and shrug off another 10lb. Won last race by 30 lengths without having to do much.

Chepstow 4.20 – Not a race should be getting involved in really, but Kathleens Pride will return here fitter and might have some place value. There are some good form lines behind other horses, notably Simple Ben, but this is another wide open one and always worth a flutter on a bigger outsider.

Chepstow 5.25 – Hobbs NFH bandwagon. Turanjo Bello does look to have a chance here, but a lot of unknowns and wonder whether 9/2 is value? The favourite Diggers Mate’s form has not worked out so def worth taking on.

Carlisle 3.00 – Must be something up with Stanley Bridge if he is 3/1. Would have expected him to be shorted looking at the way he bolted up in his last though could be argued Claude Carter should win on weight reversal with Stanley

Carlisle 5.10 – Man of Principles can make all again and hack up.

Fontwell 3.55 – Current Event will hopefully not follow the fate of recent Nicholls horses. He had a winner yesterday so may have turned a corner. Maybe a cheeky forecast with Get It On

Kempton 6.00 – Red Somerset is running well and can run off same mark. Weighted to stay ahead of Moynahan and although has only won in sellers will definitely go close


£15.00 e/w Massini Sunset 12/1 - WIN £318.00 (BPG @ 16/1) :)
£15.00 e/w Simply Ben 13/2 - PLACED £39.38
£30.00 Relax 11/10 - LOSE
£15.00 e/w Kathleens Pride 16/1 - PLACED £75.00
£30.00 Current Event 4/5 - WIN £54.00
£30.00 Stanley Bridge 3/1 - LOSE
£30.00 Man of Principles 9/4 - LOSE
£30.00 Red Somerset Evs - LOSE
£15.00 e/w Turanjo Bello 9/2 - PLACED £28.50
£30.00 Doubles - LOSE
£10.00 e/w Accumulator LOSE

Total Staked £320.00, Total Returned £514.88

P&L @ 22/03/12:
+£2784.74

AntePost P&L @ 22/03/12:
+£1051.62

Total P&L @ 22/03/12:
+£3836.36

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